NHL POWER Rankings: November

First of all, these POWER rankings have absolutely nothing to do with straight up wins, they are simply describing how well a team is playing, regardless if they end up with the win, or not. These rankings ONLY include games that have taken place in the month of November.

I’m switching up how I did these POWER rankings from last month, changing how I measure special team successes, and adding another factor which is the percentage of power play opportunities x team would get.

There are 6 major components that make up these POWER rankings (all components adjusted for score, and venue (home/away)).

1. Corsi for percentage, or shot attempt percentage (CF%).

2. Expected goals percentage (xGF%).

3. Scoring chances for percentage (SCF%).

4. Power play opportunities percentage, in pure penalties taken, not minutes on power play vs minutes on penalty kill (PPO%)

5. Special teams expected goals percentage: add power play expected goals for and penalty kill expected goals against, then divide power play expected goals by the total sum of expected goals (STxGF%)

6. Adjusted Fenwick save percentage, or the teams actual save percentage minus the expected save percentage based on shot quality (Adj.FenSV%)

Now, onto the POWER rankings. I will display their rank, team name and score. In brackets will be how many spots up or down a team has changed from the POWER rankings back in October. I will also put their ranks in the components in the team descriptions. I will also list their top 2 forward point scorers and their top defensive point scorer.

  1. Nashville Predators 57.79 (+25)

CF% 2nd, xGF% 4th, SCF% 3rd, PPO% 1st, STxGF% 2nd, Adj.FenSV% 12th.

The Nashville Predators had a rough October, but they really stepped up huge in November and saved themselves. Pekka Rinne has been fantastic with a 9-1-2 record in the month with a .949 save percentage. Their offensive leaders were James Neal (13P in 12GP), Ryan Johansen (12P in 14GP), and PK Subban (10P in 14GP).

2. Pittsburgh Penguins 55.50 (+14)

CF% 4th, xGF% 1st, SCF% 1st, PPO% 6th, STxGF% 11th, Adj.FenSV% 16th.

Another team that had an underwhelming October but have found their stride with Sidney Crosby back in the lineup. They are playing like a Stanley Cup contender just as they were last year. Matt Murray has been the main man in net for Pittsburgh with a 7-2-0 record in November and a .929 save percentage. Their offensive leaders were Sidney Crosby (17P in 14GP), Evgeny Malkin (12P in 14GP), and Kris Letang (10P in 14GP).

3. Los Angeles Kings 54.41 (+10)

CF% 6th, xGF% 7th, SCF% 6th, PPO% 24th, STxGF% 1st, Adj.FenSV% 11th.

Peter Budaj, the forgotten former Montreal Canadiens goaltender has been good enough to let the Kings sit in a wildcard spot for now, but it seems like they’re under performing quite a bit. Maybe if they can keep the penalties that they take down they can get higher in the standings. Budaj has a 8-5-1 record in November with a .914 save percentage. Their offensive leaders are Jeff Carter (14P in 14GP), Tyler Toffoli (8P in 14 GP), and Alec Martinez (7P in 14GP).

4. San Jose Sharks 54.11 (-1)

CF% 12th, xGF% 10th, SCF% 14th, PPO% 6th, STxGF% 6th, Adj.FenSV% 8th.

The Sharks currently sit first place in the Pacific Division, they have been arguably the most consistent team all season, but they may soon regret the Mikkel Boedker signing, who has just 4 points in 24 games. Martin Jones is their starter, and went 7-5-1 in November, with a .924 save percentage. Their top offensive players have been Brent Burns (11P in 15GP), Logan Couture (10P in 15GP), and Joe Pavelski (10P in 15GP).

5. Boston Bruins 53.90 (+16)

CF% 1st, xGF% 2nd, SCF% 5th, PPO% 26th, STxGF% 5th, Adj.FenSV% 23rd.

Perhaps the best team in the NHL at even strength? Literally their only weakness has been taking too many penalties. Loosing John-Micheal Liles for potentially the season is a big loss for them but they are still a great team. Tuukka Rask has been great with a 8-4-1 record and a .932 save percentage. Their top offensive players have been David Krejci (11P in 15GP), Brad Marchand (10P in 15GP), and Torey Krug (10P in 15GP).

6. Carolina Hurricanes 53.01 (+12)

CF% 5th, xGF% 9th, SCF% 10th, PPO% 3rd, STxGF% 26th, Adj.FenSV% 7th.

What do you get when you put the Carolina Hurricanes with a good version of Cam Ward? A REALLY good team. It’s amazing what can happen with at least average goal tending. Losing Jordan Staal will hurt lots especially on their penalty kill, and ya know since he is their best possession player. Ward has a 6-4-2 record in November with a .935 save percentage. Their top scorers this month are Jeff Skinner (8P in 14GP), Victor Rask (7P in 14GP), and Jaccob Slavin (4P in 14GP).

7. Columbus Blue Jackets 52.94 (+1)

CF% 15th, xGF% 14th, SCF% 9th, PPO% 4th, STxGF% 20th, Adj.FenSV% 6th.

The team (almost) everyone predicted to finish last finishes in the top 10 yet again. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky is having a Veznia-calibre season, putting together a 9-2-1 record in November, with a .924 save percentage. Their top scorers have been Cam Atkinson (16P in 14GP), Alexander Wennberg (13P in 14GP), and Zach Werenski (10P in 14GP)

8. Anaheim Ducks 52.70 (-3)

CF% 26th, xGF% 11th, SCF% 16th, PPO% 9th, STxGF% 3rd, Adj.FenSV% 13th.

Sitting 2nd place in the Pacific Division at the moment. There are some great teams there, and there are also some very bad teams there (as we will see later). The Ducks have been running 2 goalies in November. John Gibson with a 4-4-1 record and a .916 save percentage, and Jonathan Bernier, who has a 4-0-1 record with a .934 save percentage. Their top scorers have been Ryan Kesler (14P in 14GP), Rickard Rakell (13P in 14GP), and Cam Fowler (7P in 14GP).

9. Dallas Stars 52.14 (+14)

CF% 21st, xGF% 13th, SCF% 15th, PPO% 8th, STxGF% 8th, Adj.FenSV% 18th.

A team that is just absolutely plagued with forward injuries has been able to keep it going for now. At one point their entire middle 6 was gone. The Stars have been running with their two elite goaltenders at 10.4 million dollars per year. Kari Lehtonen has a 3-4-2 record with a .877 save percentage, whereas Antti Niemi has a 3-1-3 record with a .912 save percentage. Their top scorers have been Tyler Seguin (17P in 16GP), Jamie Benn (16P in 16GP), and John Klingberg (8P in 14GP).

10. Winnipeg Jets 51.69 (+19)

CF% 22nd, xGF% 5th, SCF% 8th, PPO% 16th, STxGF% 7th, Adj.FenSV% 28th.

Just received Matthieu Perreault and Bryan Little from IR, and Jacob Trouba signed this month which definitely improved the team. One problem is Toby Enstrom has gone back to Sweden with no timetable on his return. Connor Hellebuyck has been the Jets goalie this season, and posted a 7-6-0 record with a .914 save percentage this month.  Their top scorers are Mark Scheifele (18P in 16GP), Nikolaj Ehlers (16P in 16GP), and Dustin Byfuglien (7P in 16GP).

11. Edmonton Oilers 50.94 (+1)

CF% 3rd, xGF% 17th, SCF% 19th, PPO% 7th, STxGF% 21st, Adj.FenSV% 19th.

Connor McDavid is living up to the hype, currently 1st in the NHL in points. The Oilers are in a tight race in the Pacific Division and could potentially make the playoffs this season for the first time in a while. Cam Talbot has posted a 4-7-2 record in November with a .902 save percentage. Their leading scorers are Connor McDavid (19P in 15GP), Leon Draisaitl (11P in 15GP), and Oscar Klefbom (6P in 15GP).

12. Minnesota Wild 50.81 (+2)

CF% 9th, xGF% 8th, SCF% 2nd, PPO% 20th, STxGF% 29th, Adj.FenSV% 9th.

Arguably the best defensive team in the NHL right now, led by blueliners Jared Spurgeon, and Ryan Suter, and defensive forwards Mikko Koivu, Nino Niederitter, and Eric Staal. Devan Dubnyk has been having a Veznia-calibre season, with a 4-5-1 record in November, but with a .942 save percentage. Their leading scorers are Nino Niederitter (9P in 13GP), Mikael Granlund (9P in 13GP), and Jonas Brodin (6P in 13GP).

13. Chicago Blackhawks 50.22 (-3)

CF% 20th, xGF% 20th, SCF% 21st, PPO% 11th, STxGF% 24th, Adj.FenSV% 1st.

Corey Crawford is my pick for the Veznia Trophy this season. He has done insanely well with a team that by the numbers, have just been average. Crawford posted a 8-3-1 record in November with a .933 save percentage. Their leading scorers are Patrick Kane (14P in 15GP), Artemi Panarin (13P in 15GP), and Duncan Keith (8P in 15GP).

14. St. Louis Blues 50.17 (-5)

CF% 7th, xGF% 6th, SCF% 7th, PPO% 23rd, STxGF% 16th, Adj.FenSV% 29th.

Quite a good team at even strength. Their biggest problems are all special teams and goaltending through November. But I think it’s a fair bet to say that they have the personnel to fix those areas of concern. Jake Allen had a 7-2-1 record with a shaky .903 save percentage. Their top scorers are Vladimir Tarasenko (14P in 14GP), Jaden Schwartz (12P in 14GP), and Kevin Shattenkirk (9P in 14GP)

15. Toronto Maple Leafs 50.04 (-4)

CF% 23rd, xGF% 3rd, SCF% 4th, PPO% 25th, STxGF% 27th, Adj.FenSV% 20th.

Home of the most legitimate Calder Trophy candidates in Auston Matthews, William Nylander, and Mitchell Marner. Their starting goaltender, Frederik Andersen posted a 8-4-0 record with a .931 save percentage this month. Their leading scorers were James van Reimsdyk (13P in 14GP), Mitchell Marner (13P in 14GP), and Morgan Reilly (8P in 14GP). #TheLeafsAreActuallyGood

16. Montreal Canadiens 49.77 (-12)

CF% 16th, xGF% 19th, SCF% 17th, PPO% 12th, STxGF% 23rd, Adj.FenSV% 15th.

Have no fear, Habs fans. Even when the Canadiens play is sub-par, they will still have Carey Price on their team who can single-handedly win games. Carey Price had a 8-2-1 record in the month, with a fantastic .944 save percentage. Their leading scorers were Alex Galchenyuk (14P in 14GP), Andrei Markov (13P in 14GP), and Alexander Radulov (11P in 12GP).

17. Detroit Red Wings 49.66 (-2)

CF% 25th, xGF% 28th, SCF% 20th, PPO% 2nd, STxGF% 18th, Adj.FenSV% 22nd.

The Red Wings have mostly been a below average team. But their share of power play opportunity is quite impressive. They need to keep Anthony Mantha up longer. The Wings are one of those teams that run with two net minders. Jimmy Howard has posted a 3-4-0 record with a .922 save percentage, and Petr Mrazek with a 2-2-2 record and a .899 save percentage. Their top scorers were Henrik Zetterberg (11P in 13GP), Frans Nielsen (7P in 13GP), and Mike Green (6P in 13GP).

18. Florida Panthers 49.58 (-12)

CF% 8th, xGF% 25th, SCF% 25th, PPO% 10th, STxGF% 9th, Adj.FenSV% 24th.

GM Tom Rowe decided to fire coach Gerard Gallant after a comeback loss to the Carolina Hurricanes and appointed himself to be Head Coach. The Panthers have seen both James Reimer, and Roberto Luongo play this month. Luongo with a 5-3-1 record, with a .939 save percentage, and James Reimer with a 2-3-0 record with a .890 save percentage. Their leading scorers were Aleksander Barkov (9P in 14GP), Jaromir Jagr (8P in 14GP), and Keith Yandle (8P in 14GP).

19. Tampa Bay Lightning 49.55 (+3)

CF% 18th, xGF% 18th, SCF% 18th, PPO% 17th, STxGF% 25th, Adj.FenSV% 4th.

With the Steven Stamkos injury that will keep him out for 1-3 months, the Lightning will have to rely more heavily on guys like Nikita Kucherov, and Jonathan Drouin to make up for his loss (which is not a bad thing). Both Ben Bishop, and Andrei Vasilevsky have had their fair share of starts. Ben Bishop posted a 4-5-0 record with a .916 save percentage, and Andrei Vasilevsky with a 4-1-1 record, and a .944 save percentage. Their top scorers were Nikita Kucherov (18P in 15GP), Victor Hedman (12P in 15GP), and Valtteri Filppula (11P in 14GP).

20. Philadelphia Flyers 49.35 (+4)

CF% 14th, xGF% 26th, SCF% 24th, PPO% 15th, STxGF% 4th, Adj.FenSV% 26th.

There was a legitimate argument last year that Steve Mason and Michael Neuvirth was the best goaltending tandem in the NHL, this year however, not so much. Both have struggled quite a bit. Good news is that the power play has been fantastic. Steve Mason has started a majority of the games in November, and posted a 4-4-2 record with a .911 save percentage. Their top scorers were Wayne Simmonds (11P in 14GP), Jakub Voracek (10P in 14GP), and Michael Del Zotto (6P in 9GP).

21. Calgary Flames 49.30 (+6)

CF% 10th, xGF% 16th, SCF% 13th, PPO% 27th, STxGF% 10th, Adj.FenSV% 25th.

I think that Calgary could actually be a pretty decent team if they weren’t always on the wrong side of the power plays. Their goaltending should naturally improve with two very good goalies, even though one has had a fairly rough start. Brian Elliott has posted a 0-5-1 record with a .869 save percentage – ouch. Chad Johnson however has been much better, with a 7-3-0 record and a .939 save percentage. Their top scorers have been Michael Frolik (9P in 16GP), Matthew Tkachuk (6P in 14GP), and Dougie Hamilton (6P in 16GP).

22. New York Rangers 49.27 (-21)

CF% 29th, xGF% 15th, SCF% 11th, PPO% 22nd, STxGF% 13th, Adj.FenSV% 18th.

With such a fantastic October, it should be slightly worrisome that the Rangers shot metrics have fell off of a cliff. Luckily they have great goaltending, and people have continued scoring no matter what the shot metrics were saying. Henrik Lundqvist posted a 7-3-1 record and a .925 save percentage; whereas backup Antti Raanta put up a 3-1-0 record with a .935 save percentage. Their leading scorers were

23. Ottawa Senators 48.92 (-16)

CF% 27th, xGF% 23rd, SCF% 22nd, PPO% 14th, STxGF% 22nd, Adj.FenSV% 3rd.

The Craig Anderson story is quite remarkable, his wife was diagnosed with cancer, and the first game back, he had a shut out. Craig Anderson posted a 7-4-1 record with a .934 save percentage in Novemer. Their leading scorers were Mike Hoffman (11P in 13GP), Erik Karlsson (11P in 15GP), and Mark Stone (10P in 14GP).

24. Washington Capitals 48.88 (-22)

CF% 11th, xGF% 24th, SCF% 26th, PPO% 30th, STxGF% 17th, Adj.FenSV% 2nd.

Another team that is winning even with average to poor results. Having an elite level goalie can carry through a rough patch and that’s what happened in November with Washington. I doubt you’ll see them this low again. Braden Holtby posted a 7-3-0 record and a .923 save percentage. Their leading scorers were Nicklas Backstrom (15P in 13GP), Alex Ovechkin (12P in 13GP), and John Carlson (7P in 13GP).

25. Buffalo Sabres 48.54 (-8)

CF% 19th, xGF% 12th, SCF% 12th, PPO% 18th, STxGF% 30th, Adj.FenSV% 10th.

The only legitimate concern for the Sabres based on this month is their special teams play, which will more than likely improve now that they received Jack Eichel back from IR. Robin Lehner has been the starter in net this month, and he posted a 3-5-2 record with a .924 save percentage. Their top scorers were Sam Reinhart (8P in 14GP), Kyle Okposo (8P in 14GP), and Cody Franson (4P in 14GP).

26. New Jersey Devils 47.62 (-6)

CF% 17th, xGF% 27th, SCF% 28th, PPO% 19th, STxGF% 15th, Adj.FenSV% 21st.

Cory Schneider had a rarely bad month, but they’ve won just enough games to be hanging onto a chance at the playoffs, not too far off right now. Getting Taylor Hall back will be nice for them to bolster their scoring. Cory Schneider posted a 4-4-2 record with a .893 save percentage. Their leading scorers were Michael Cammalleri (11P in 8GP), Travis Zajac (10P in 14GP), and John Moore (8P in 14GP).

27. Vancouver Canucks 47.26 (-2)

CF% 13th, xGF% 21st, SCF% 23rd, PPO% 13th, STxGF% 19th, Adj.FenSV% 30th.

Their goaltending has really struggled in Vancouver. At this point, they’re not too far back of the playoffs, but it’s highly unlikely that they have any chance. This is a team on the route to Nolan Patrick. Another team with two goalies who have both started about equal time. Ryan Miller has a 3-5-0 record with a .896 save percentage, whereas Jacob Markstrom has a 3-2-1 record with a .893 save percentage. Their leading scorers are Bo Horvat (12P in 14GP), Daniel Sedin (10P in 14GP), and Ben Hutton (6P in 14GP).

28. Colorado Avalanche 45.70 (+0)

CF% 24th, xGF% 22nd, SCF% 27th, PPO% 29th, STxGF% 14th, Adj.FenSV% 27th.

This is one of the three teams that I am very scared for, these teams have been so bad this year that I feel bad for them. Luckily it’s not ALL bad in Colorado, at least they have a very good player and possible contender for the Calder Trophy in Mikko Rantanen. Semyon Varlamov posted a 3-6-0 record in November with a .901 save percentage. Their leading scorers were Mikko Rantanen (10P in 14GP), Nathan MacKinnon (9P in 14GP), and Erik Johnson (6P in 14GP).

29. New York Islanders 45.58 (-10)

CF% 28th, xGF% 29th, SCF% 29th, PPO% 28th, STxGF% 12th, Adj.FenSV% 14th.

Remember last year when Steven Stamkos almost went to free agency last year? Yeah, well he was on a promising team. I seriously doubt that John Tavares will be returning to the Islanders next season, he will be the first franchise player in free agency in a while. Another two goalie team. Thomas Greiss put up a 3-2-0 record with a .914 save percentage. On the other hand, Jaroslav Halak had a 1-3-4 record with a .905 save percentage. Their leading scorers were John Tavares (10P in 13GP), Josh Bailey (7P in 13GP), and Nick Leddy (6P in 13GP).

30. Arizona Coyotes 44.90 (+0)

CF% 30th, xGF% 30th, SCF% 30th, PPO% 21st, STxGF% 28th, Adj.FenSV% 5th.

I am legitimately sorry for Arizona Coyotes fans (if there are any (sorry)), this team is 13/14 Buffalo Sabres level of bad. The only bright spot they have right now is Oliver Ekman-Larsson. Don’t worry, though. The Yotes prospects are pretty amazing. Mike Smith and Louis Domingue split time this month. Smith with a 3-1-2 record and a .936 save percentage, Domingue with a 3-3-1 record and a .927 save percentage. Their leading scorers were Max Domi (9P in 13GP), Radim Vrbata (9P in 13GP), and Anthony DeAngelo (6P in 10GP).

Statistics from Corsica.Hockey and NHL.com

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